SP51/OC-01

Mars

OPEN
CLASS
OPEN CASE
FILED
2013-
DOCUMENTS
04
STATUS
OPEN

Three ventures, one radiation problem, zero humans. The case stays open.

DOCUMENT04 SEP 2013Mars One

The Netherlands usually gets mentioned in conversations about tulips, cheese, and windmills... but it seems another topic might soon join the mix. Mars One, a non-profit organization (we touched upon them briefly in our previous Mars coverage) founded by Dutch entrepreneur Bas Lansdorp, is closing its registration round for people who are interested in a one-way ticket to Mars as soon as 2023. And you bet that many are interested... within two weeks of its launch, the selection programme received more than 78,000 registrations and to date around 165,000 applications have signed up. So one might wonder, what drives these people to sign up for something they know will mean they will never see family and friends again? Well, according to the trailer for One Way Astronaut - a documentary about those determined to throw it all away in the hopes of becoming the first human off world settlers - "you're just never going to know what you're going to find" while exploring the environment. To many it is a dream, born out of their childhood imagination. Curiosity killed the cat as they say, but it won't stop these applicants from following their dreams. As the foundation puts it: "Human settlement of Mars is the next giant leap for humankind." and it would be hard to find anyone who would contest that this feat would be right up there with the moon landing, the discovery of America, and so on as an event that will go into the history books as defining for our species. For most, 2023 might sound like a very ambitious date but then one cannot underestimate the drive and determination of humankind to explore. The Mars One foundation is not looking to develop its own technology to accomplish its mission, because the private space industry already invented what is needed to go to Mars they claim. After the first missions make sure that supplies are available and a reliable surface habitat is set up before the first crew lands, more settlers and cargo will then follow every two years. This will of course cost a heavy sum, around the $6 billion mark in fact, which Lansdorp says will be funded primarily through a reality-TV program about about the red planet's first colonists. And just when you thought we would some day see the end of "Big Brother"...

"Mars is the stepping stone of the human race on its voyage into the universe."

You know, they might be on to something.

DOCUMENT14 JUL 2013Inspiration Mars Foundation

A few weeks ago we wrote about Dennis Tito"), the first paying passenger to go into space. Earlier this year, Tito announced the formation of the Inspiration Mars Foundation, a nonprofit organisation with a very specific short-term objective: sending a two-person American crew on a historic journey within 100 miles around the Red Planet and return to Earth safely. Tito has experience with this type of flyby missions from his days as a scientist at the NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory but this one pushes the envelope much further - no human has ever traveled to another planet. Also interesting is that the Foundation is pushed for time to reach its objective - in 2018 both planets (Earth and Mars) will align, offering a unique orbit opportunity to travel to Mars and back in just 501 days. You can check out the announcement made earlier this year below:

Video: YouTube (archived link)

As Tito says during the announcement, space is very complex and there is a lot to learn, even when the outline of the mission is simple. More on the Inspiration Mars Foundation soon hopefully, as they get closer to their objective!

DOCUMENT26 JUL 2013How to put a human on Mars

When the BBC starts making interactive sites ( http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-23349496 ), you know something is a hot topic, so read on... Scientists at Imperial College London have designed a concept mission to land astronauts on Mars. It would entail a craft existing of two parts: the Martian lander with a heat shield, in which the crew would also ascent into Earth orbit, and a cylindrical craft split into three floors. Travelling through space for long durations brings up major issues, perhaps the most important one being the muscle and bone wastage that weightlessness causes, which would render astronauts unable to walk upon arrival at their destination. To prevent this, the team explains that the two parts would, once in space, unwind from eachother on a steel cable. Short truster bursts would then set in motion the rotation needed to generate artificial gravity similar to Earth's. Aside from the deconditioning of the human body, another cause for concern is solar and cosmic radiation. Several solutions are proposed, including running water within the shell of the cruise craft to absorb the radtiation, while another solution would mean fitting superconducting magnets to the craft that would generate a magnetosphere similar to Earth's. You can read the full article here: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-22952441 As more prominent organisations start to report of the possibilities of the first human visit to Mars, and the race to launch paying customers into space is heating up. But colonizing another planet, can you imagine? We already introduced the Inspiration Mars Foundation, headed up by business tycoon Dennis Tito"). Another project out there is the Dutch Mars One which will be looking to establish a permanent human settlement on Mars in 2023 - talk about being ambitious! And then of course there is billionaire inventor Elon Musk") of SpaceX who has also plans to visit the Red Planet, possibly permanently. We might see the day when we will look up at the sky, and see our second home, like a red dot in a vast ocean of space. It might make us redefine our place in the universe... who knows.

MEMO31 MAY 2013Radiation memo: Curiosity throws a spanner in the works

Remember Spirit, the lonely rover that drove around on the surface of Mars for years past its mission end date? Well, it seems its bigger brother Curiosity might have thrown a spanner in the works in regards to a human settlement on Mars, or interplanetary travel in general. At a news conference yesterday, NASA presented new findings from the Mars Science Laboratory Radiation Assessment Detector (RAD) aboard Curiosity, showing that astronauts on a trip to Mars would be subjected to a dose of radiation nearly equal to their career limit. Auch.

Over their career, NASA limits astronauts' increased risk of cancer and central nervous system damage to 3 percent. That translates to a cumulative radiation dose of between about 800 millisieverts and 1,200 millisieverts, depending on a person's age, gender and other factors. Results from Curiosity indicate that astronauts would receive a radiation dose of about 660 millisieverts during a 360-day roundtrip flight - and that's calculated according to the fastest travel possible with today's chemical rockets. To put that dose in context, an astronaut circling orbit on the International Space Station for 6 months, would receive about 100 millisieverts.

So what's next? Well, one possible avenue that will need to be explored is how to shield astronauts from the bombardment by radiation from cosmic rays and solar outbursts. Another avenue would be to speed up the journey by developing the next generation of propulsion systems. And what about putting all the engineering challenges aside for a minute, and looking at the human body, what if some day we could just counter that damage with our own DNA... Whatever road we take, it seems like we shouldn't be packing our bags for Mars just yet...

FIELD UPDATE13 JUN 2026

Every document in this file is dead. Mars One went bankrupt in 2019, owing its applicants an apology it never filed. Tito's flyby evaporated before the 2018 launch window it was built around. The Imperial College ship was never more than a beautiful PDF. Only the problem survived: the 660 millisieverts are still out there, exactly where Curiosity measured them in 2013, waiting for whoever goes first.

And yet the case stays open, because one venture remains. Starship is the first Mars hardware in history that actually flies - sometimes further than others. The departure date does what it has always done: crew by 2024 became cargo by late 2026, became, becomes, will become. In thirteen years of this archive the destination has never moved an inch. Only the calendar has.

Making life multiplanetary is either the defining project of this century or its most expensive metaphor. This file does not stamp speculation. It waits.